Yes, I am claiming the Davidson men's basketball team is #3 in the nation. First off, ignore the regular season -- games before March don't count. Now look at the tournament results. How many points away from Kansas was every other team? Points add, so if A loses to B who loses to C, C absorbs A-B and B-C. Now let's look at the results:
Kansas = 0
Memphis = -1/2 [yeah, they lost by 7, but in overtime, so -1/2]
Davidson = -2
Mississippi State = -1/2 - 3 = -3.5
The rest of the South bracket - 18.5 or lower since Memphis usually romped
The entire East bracket = -18 or lower, since UNC got blown out by Kansas
The entire West bracket = -1/2 -15 = -15.5 or lower, after UCLA's 15 point loss.
So obviously Davidson was the third best team in the tournament and those supposed losses to Duke, UNC, and UCLA in the regular season Never Really Happened.
I am also available for political campaign analyses and budget estimations.
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2 comments:
What a great idea, hehe.
Of course, you have to set up the metrics so it works out this way. It turned out that Davidson had the second best chance to beat the eventual champions (if only Curry had gotten off that shot rather than Richards).
Still, if you look at performance for the entire tournament, I think the order would have to be something like Kansas, Memphis, UNC, Louisville, Texas, UCLA, then Davidson. After all, the Wildcats had to come from behind to beat Gonzaga and Georgetown.
I can come up with a reasonable metric that makes Davidson #1 in the country. Add the seeds of the teams each team in the final 8 played and divide it by the number of wins. By that measure Davidson has a 4 (total seeds 12 / 3), while Kansas has 6.3 (total seeds 40 / 6) and Carolina has 8 (total seeds 32/4).
Finally! A statistical analysis that makes sense!
I'm thinking of running for president this year Joe. Any chance you could do some polling that shows me winning the big states? I mean, that's what makes a good leader, right?
Jim
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